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02/21/2007 - Stillwater, OK (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The eighth-ranked Texas A&M Aggies have made the trip to Stillwater for a Big 12 Conference clash with the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
Texas A&M has won six of its last seven games to move to 22-4 overall and 10-2 in conference action, as the club continues to battle Kansas for league supremacy. The Aggies were last in action on Saturday when they beat Oklahoma in Norman by a 56-49 final. At 6-2 this season in true road games, don't expect A&M to be intimidated this evening.
At one point, Oklahoma State appeared to be one of the nation's best teams, but the squad is now fighting for NCAA Tournament consideration with a 5-6 Big 12 record. The Cowboys have lost two straight games and four of their last five, including a 75-64 setback to Missouri on Saturday.
Texas A&M cruised to a 67-49 victory over Oklahoma State back on January 20th, overshadowing the fact that the Cowboys own a 26-10 advantage in the all-time series between the teams.
Joseph Jones and Acie Law led the way for Texas A&M in the victory over Oklahoma on Saturday, as both standouts scored 21 points. Jones led the team with nine rebounds, while Law dished out seven assists against only two turnovers. Strong defense was key to the victory for the Aggies, as they held the Sooners to 34 percent shooting from the field. A 13-6 edge in points from the foul line also helped the cause. Law is scoring 17.0 ppg this season on 51 percent shooting from the floor, including 44.4 percent accuracy from three-point range. He has also handed out 143 assists with 70 turnovers and leads the team with 35 steals as well. Jones checks in with 13.5 ppg and 6.5 rpg, while Josh Carter is scoring 12.1 ppg on the strength of his staggering 51.1 percent accuracy from behind the arc. Antanas Kavaliauskas is also netting 12.1 ppg, and he is grabbing 6.2 rpg. The Aggies are netting 75.3 ppg on 50 percent shooting from the field, and they are holding foes to 56.5 ppg on 36.3 percent efficiency.
Mario Boggan continues to pace Oklahoma State with 20.8 ppg and 7.9 rpg, and he is one of the elite players in the Big 12 Conference. The top backcourt performer for the Cowboys is JamesOn Curry, as he supplies 18.1 ppg to go along with his 94 assists. The biggest problem for the Cowboys is that they are allowing 77.5 ppg in conference play. On Saturday, they permitted Missouri to shoot 50 percent from the floor, including a 10-of-18 effort from three-point range. Unfortunately, Oklahoma State was only able to connect on 40.8 percent of its own field goal attempts, including a 2- of-10 showing from behind the arc. If not for a 22-9 advantage in points from the foul line, the final score would have been even more lopsided. Curry and Boggan scored 16 points apiece in defeat.
<< Second-ranked Ohio State plays host to Penn State
Columbus, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For the second time in eight days, the
second-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes will take on the Penn State Nittany
Lions in Big Ten Conference action.
Last Wednesday, Ohio State built a
<< Tar Heels and Wolfpack meet in Chapel Hill
Chapel Hill, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The fifth-ranked North Carolina Tar
Heels will have revenge on their minds as they host the NC State
Wolfpack tonight in an ACC clash.
These two teams met on February 3rd, and NC Sta
<< Hoyas take on Bearcats in the Queen City
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 12th-ranked Georgetown Hoyas are
one of the nation's hottest teams, and they will attempt to extend
their winning streak to 10 games as they take on the Cincinnati Bearcats
in a
<< Tide rolls into Knoxville
Knoxville, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 25th-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide and
Tennessee Volunteers will do battle in an SEC contest tonight in
Knoxville.
Alabama carried a two-game losing skid into Saturday's game a
Louisville seeks 20th victory of the season >>
Louisville, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 20th-ranked Louisville Cardinals gun for
their fourth straight win tonight, as they host the St. John's Red Storm
in Big East play from Freedom Hall.
The Cardinals moved into the Top-25 this
Florida inches closer to SEC crown, as Gators host Gamecocks >>
Gainesville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The third-ranked Florida Gators have
been knocked off their perch atop the college basketball world, at
least temporarily, but they continue to rule the SEC and are heavy
favorit
Knicks visit Atlantic Division-rival Philadelphia >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Philadelphia 76ers conclude their seven-game homestand
tonight when they welcome the Atlantic Division rival New York Knicks to the
Wachovia Center.
The Sixers fell to 2-4 on their stand before the All-Star break when
Cavs, Raptors meet in Toronto >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cleveland Cavaliers conclude a three-game road trip
tonight when they travel to Toronto to battle the Raptors at Air Canada
Centre.
Cleveland has split the first two games of its trek so far. The Cavaliers were
downe
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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